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Model Information

The projected population curve shown above is based on a capped linear-percent growth model. The model assumes that population increases approximately linearly each year by a fixed percentage of the 2025 baseline population. Growth gradually slows as the total population approaches the city’s City Max Population — the estimated maximum sustainable population based on land availability, infrastructure, and housing limits.

Mathematically, this model is represented as: P(t) = K − (K − P₀) · exp(−(r·P₀/K)·(t − t₀)) where P₀ is the population at the base year (t₀ = 2025), r is the initial annual growth rate, and K is the city’s maximum population capacity. As P(t) approaches K, the effective growth rate declines naturally, reflecting reduced available land and a maturing job market.